Impact of withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan-Deep Analysis

 Impact of the withdrawal of American troops in Afghanistan

The withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan has been a hotly debated topic in the United States for many years. Withdrawing too soon could lead to another 9/11, or an insurgency that spreads throughout the country and destabilizes other countries in the region. 

Withdrawing is just as hard on Afghanis who are reliant on American funds. With all this said, what does happen when America withdraws its troops? This blog post will explore how withdrawing troops impacts different groups within Afghanistan.

America and Afghanistan

What does the withdrawal of American troops in Afghanistan mean for Afghans and Americans?

In 2013 there were 65,000 American forces deployed to Afghanistan who helped with training Afghan security forces as well as defeating Al Qaeda and Taliban fighters throughout the country.

With US troop withdrawal imminent (leaving roughly around 12,500 by January 2016), Afghans are worried about what life after 2014 will look like for them without their major international supporter.

With the US military gone, Afghan security forces will have to step up and take on more responsibility for ensuring their country's stability.

These fears are justified; a review of insurgencies after American withdrawal shows that without major international support, most insurgents return to guerrilla warfare tactics such as bombings in attempts to destabilize the government.

The withdrawal leaves many Afghans worried about what life after 2014 would look like: with no foreign troops or funds from America, Afghanistan would be unable to maintain its current level of peace and stability while also combating insurgent groups that thrive off chaos caused by lack of central authority. 

This is not an unreasonable expectation- according to research done on wars following troop withdrawals (including Vietnam), there was usually a period where insurgency increased due primarily to the lack of foreign support.

How will this withdrawal affect Afghanistan's security and stability?

1. With the withdrawal of American troops from Afghanistan, it is possible that this will lead to an increase in violence.
2. With a decrease in security and stability comes more extremism, which could also have negative consequences for those who are still living there.
3. Withdrawal of US forces might result in increased insecurity - with a probable rise in instability and greater risk of civil war or coup d'etat by power-hungry generals?
4. The country has been torn apart by decades of wars and conflicts; extremists pose as much a threat to Afghanis themselves as they do outsiders.

Many say that what makes America great can be seen through its willingness to act boldly abroad when necessary--and "necessary" may no longer apply on this front. With an eye on the future, America may be better served by continuing to invest in rebuilding Afghanistan and ensuring its stability--even as it prepares for a post-American world.

Is there a way to prevent the Taliban from taking control of Afghanistan again?

The Taliban is currently in control of Afghanistan. With the American troops withdrawing, there are concerns about what will happen to Afghanistan once they leave. With Afghan forces already overstretched and under-resourced, the Taliban could easily take control of Afghanistan again.

In addition to a lack of resources, many Afghans fear that America's withdrawal will make it harder for them to survive without international assistance. Withdrawal from Afghanistan may also reduce the United States' capacity for counterterrorism operations in Pakistan and elsewhere across Central Asia - which would be extraordinarily detrimental considering how badly terrorism impacts global security today.

There are some who believe that withdrawing troops is the right thing to do because they feel as though the American presence has done more harm than good. 

However this argument relies on an assumption about what might happen if US troops left unconditionally when there still isn't enough evidence to support such claims one way or the other. 

Withdrawing from Afghanistan also means having to withdraw from a significant armed conflict in which America's allies will be at risk of facing defeat by Taliban forces if left without American support.

Furthermore, withdrawing troops could jeopardize America's relationships with partner nations that have undertaken and are still undertaking major efforts to support Afghan security institutions so they can take lead responsibility for their own country's defense against instability and insurgency within its borders as the US begins drawing down combat operations there over time-efforts that began after September 11th, 2001.

If we do decide to leave then what should happen? A timetable for withdrawal is necessary - but an unrealistic one would likely not work because it would allow militants more freedom than ever.

What does this mean for future peace talks with other countries like Pakistan and Iran?

• Withdrawal of American troops may lead to future peace talks with other countries like Pakistan and Iran
• Withdrawal of American troops may lead to the increased focus on terrorism in other countries like Pakistan and Iran
• Withdrawal of American troops may lead to increased terrorist activity in other countries like Pakistan and Iran
• Withdrawal of American troops may lead to Pakistani government officials attempting to take control over tribal regions that are currently controlled by the Taliban, such as North Waziristan.
• Withdrawal of American troops may lead to increased involvement in Afghan politics by neighboring countries.
• Withdrawal of American troops may lead to the Taliban expanding their influence in other countries.

Conclusion: 

Withdrawing military forces from Afghanistan is a positive step for peace talks with other countries like Pakistan and Iran as well as an increase in terrorist activity because Afghan security forces will be more easily overpowered by the terror group, which currently controls more than 20% of territory there. Withdrawal also means that increased terrorism can occur elsewhere without fear of reprisal against this region.